L’École des cotes

Jannik Sinner v Daniil Medvedev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 17:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Prévision 89.67%1.12cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -39.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.85%89.52%89.46%91.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.37%94.34%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Daniil Medvedev (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.33%9.68cote équitable
EV +13.67%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.79%10.48%10.54%13.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.559.9011.0014.29%10.47%10.10%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.78%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 9.22%EV +8.92%E +0.846%K +0.935%G +0.083%2.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.50%E +0.810%K +0.895%G +0.076%3.0%2026-05-15 17:19
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%4.3%2026-05-15 17:21
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%6.2%2026-05-15 17:21
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.41%E -0.477%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -8.54%E -8.37%K -427.02%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -5.45%E -0.595%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 17:21
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:20
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:20
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -13.20%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:21
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21