A Escola das Odds

Jannik Sinner v Daniil Medvedev

Início: 2026-05-15 17:25 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jannik Sinner (Local)

Previsão 89.67%1.12odd justa
EV -3.16%
Vantagem -2.93%
Kelly -39.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.85%89.52%89.46%91.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.061.061.0898.04%94.37%94.34%92.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daniil Medvedev (Visitante)

Previsão 10.33%9.68odd justa
EV +13.67%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.187%

pressupondo odds máximas de 11.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
8.79%10.48%10.54%13.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.009.559.9011.0014.29%10.47%10.10%9.09%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Grosvenor1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Casumo1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Unibet (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
BoyleSports1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:21
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +13.67%E +1.24%K +1.37%G +0.187%3.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 90.78%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 9.22%EV +8.92%E +0.846%K +0.935%G +0.083%2.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Coolbet1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%EV +8.50%E +0.810%K +0.895%G +0.076%3.0%2026-05-15 17:19
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.79%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.45I 9.57%NM 9.21%EV +7.99%E +0.764%K +0.845%G +0.068%3.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%4.3%2026-05-15 17:21
Betway1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
theScore Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PMU (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%6.2%2026-05-15 17:21
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.64%E -7.42%K -254.79%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV +3.34%E +0.334%K +0.371%G +0.012%7.1%2026-05-15 17:21
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 90.16%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.84%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +2.30%E +0.233%K +0.259%G +0.006%4.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -4.41%E -0.477%K -0.535%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
Fliff1.02I 98.04%NM 89.97%EV -8.54%E -8.37%K -427.02%G +0.000%9.15I 10.93%NM 10.03%EV -5.45%E -0.595%K -0.668%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 17:21
Bet Right1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:19
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
BetUS1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:21
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 17:20
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.75%E -6.49%K -168.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.00%E -0.777%K -0.875%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:20
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 17:21
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Ladbrokes (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.16%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 17:20
Fanatics1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -13.20%E -1.57%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 17:20
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.71%EV -5.85%E -5.57%K -117.01%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.29%EV -14.75%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:14
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:19
NordicBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -17.33%E -2.17%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:21
BetMGM1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -19.91%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:21
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -3.16%E -2.93%K -39.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 17:21
Caesars1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.06%E -3.79%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -22.50%E -3.00%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:20
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -4.95%E -4.67%K -82.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -27.66%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 17:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-05-15 17:21
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.1%2026-05-15 17:21
Smarkets1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%2.7%2026-05-15 17:21