Language:English
Jan-Lennard Struff v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Prediction 23.88%4.19fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.408%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.40%23.94%23.81%25.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.953.974.2627.78%25.32%25.19%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 76.12%1.31fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -12.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.07%76.06%76.19%77.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.241.2784.03%80.45%80.65%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 23.88%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 76.12%. For Jan-Lennard Struff (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.19. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +1.74%E +0.408%K +0.533%G +0.009% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +1.50%E +0.352%K +0.461%G +0.007% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -0.413%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.890%E -0.215%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 10:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -2.80%E -0.688%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 00:07 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 21:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 03:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 03:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 10:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.42%E -7.92%K -49.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.83%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |