L’École des cotes

Jan-Lennard Struff v Jiri Lehecka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 10:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Prévision 23.88%4.19cote équitable
EV +1.74%
Avantage +0.408%
Kelly +0.533%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.40%23.94%23.81%25.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.953.974.2627.78%25.32%25.19%23.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.12%1.31cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -2.62%
Kelly -12.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.07%76.06%76.19%77.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.241.241.2784.03%80.45%80.65%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +1.74%E +0.408%K +0.533%G +0.009%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:44
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +1.50%E +0.352%K +0.461%G +0.007%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:14
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 10:14
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:00
Pinnacle4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -0.413%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 03:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.890%E -0.215%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 10:14
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:45
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 10:38
GTbets4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -2.80%E -0.688%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 00:07
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 12:45
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:29
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 04:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:39
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:14
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:35
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:29
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:55
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:44
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:44
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:44
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:45
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:45
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 03:39
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 10:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 03:49
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 10:00
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.42%E -7.92%K -49.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 10:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 10:25
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 10:25
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.83%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:25
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-05-08 10:45
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%2.8%2026-05-08 10:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-08 10:45