La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Jan-Lennard Struff v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)
Predicción 23.88%4.19momio equitativo
EV +1.74%
Ventaja +0.408%
Kelly +0.533%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.40%23.94%23.81%25.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.953.974.2627.78%25.32%25.19%23.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 76.12%1.31momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -2.62%
Kelly -12.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.07%76.06%76.19%77.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.241.241.2784.03%80.45%80.65%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +1.74%E +0.408%K +0.533%G +0.009% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| SportsBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +1.50%E +0.352%K +0.461%G +0.007% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| BoyleSports | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -0.413%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.890%E -0.215%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| betPARX | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 10:38 |
| GTbets | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -2.80%E -0.688%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-08 00:07 |
| 1xBet | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| ReBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 04:45 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 03:50 |
| BetUS | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-08 08:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 21:39 |
| Bally Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 10:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-08 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| TABtouch | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 08:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 03:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| LeoVegas | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| theScore Bet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 03:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betsson | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Fliff | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-08 10:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.60%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:59 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 03:49 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 10:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.42%E -7.92%K -49.58%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| BetMGM | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Coral | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.83%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Neds | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 10:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 09:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 10:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-05-08 10:29 |
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| Novig | 4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01% | 3.4% | 2026-05-08 10:45 |