A Escola das Odds

Jan-Lennard Struff v Jiri Lehecka

Início: 2026-05-08 10:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Previsão 23.88%4.19odd justa
EV +1.74%
Vantagem +0.408%
Kelly +0.533%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.40%23.94%23.81%25.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.953.974.2627.78%25.32%25.19%23.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)

Previsão 76.12%1.31odd justa
EV -3.33%
Vantagem -2.62%
Kelly -12.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
74.07%76.06%76.19%77.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.191.241.241.2784.03%80.45%80.65%78.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +1.74%E +0.408%K +0.533%G +0.009%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:44
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +1.50%E +0.352%K +0.461%G +0.007%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:14
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 10:14
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:00
Pinnacle4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -0.413%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 03:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.890%E -0.215%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 10:14
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:45
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 10:38
GTbets4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -2.80%E -0.688%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 00:07
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 12:45
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:29
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 04:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:39
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:14
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:35
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:29
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:55
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:44
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:44
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:44
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:45
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:45
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 03:39
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 10:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 03:49
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 10:00
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.42%E -7.92%K -49.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 10:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 10:25
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 10:25
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.83%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:25
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-05-08 10:45
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%2.8%2026-05-08 10:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-08 10:45