مدرسة الاحتمالات

Jan-Lennard Struff v Jiri Lehecka

البداية: 2026-05-08 10:50 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Jan-Lennard Struff (المضيف)

التنبؤ 23.88%4.19السعر العادل
EV +1.74%
الأفضلية +0.408%
Kelly +0.533%
النمو +0.009%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.26

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.40%23.94%23.81%25.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.953.974.2627.78%25.32%25.19%23.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Jiri Lehecka (الضيف)

التنبؤ 76.12%1.31السعر العادل
EV -3.33%
الأفضلية -2.62%
Kelly -12.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
74.07%76.06%76.19%77.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.191.241.241.2784.03%80.45%80.65%78.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings4.26I 23.47%NM 22.40%EV +1.74%E +0.408%K +0.533%G +0.009%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.60%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:44
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +1.50%E +0.352%K +0.461%G +0.007%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 10:14
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-08 10:14
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.304%E +0.072%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 13:00
Pinnacle4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%EV -0.413%E -0.099%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-08 03:50
FanDuel4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -0.890%E -0.215%K -0.283%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 10:14
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:45
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.08%E -0.508%K -0.672%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 10:38
GTbets4.07I 24.57%NM 23.64%EV -2.80%E -0.688%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.36%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 00:07
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.23%E -1.06%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 10:44
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 12:45
ReBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 10:29
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 04:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 03:50
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 08:19
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 21:39
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 10:14
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.47%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.66%E -7.22%K -43.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 10:35
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -4.71%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 08:40
Unibet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:29
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
BetRivers3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 08:05
Grosvenor3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:45
NetBet (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.67%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -6.37%E -5.18%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:55
Marathon Bet3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 10:44
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 10:44
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:44
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 10:44
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -6.86%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 10:45
theScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 10:45
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 03:39
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Fliff3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 10:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -8.05%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -7.90%E -6.53%K -37.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 10:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:59
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -9.25%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 03:49
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.14%E -5.85%K -32.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 10:00
PMU (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -10.44%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -9.42%E -7.92%K -49.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 10:45
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.33%E -2.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 10:25
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 10:25
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -12.83%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -5.61%E -4.53%K -23.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.09%E -3.25%K -15.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 10:25
Bet Victor3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.85%E -3.88%K -19.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 09:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-05-08 10:29
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64%1.9%2026-05-08 10:45
Novig4.39I 22.78%NM 22.16%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.84%2.8%2026-05-08 10:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%3.4%2026-05-08 10:45