默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frances Tiafoe v Andrea Pellegrino

开赛时间: 2026-05-11 11:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frances Tiafoe (主队)

预测 67.00%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.84%
优势 -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.53%66.99%67.06%68.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.351.411.401.4574.07%70.97%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Andrea Pellegrino (客队)

预测 33.00%3.03公平赔率
EV -0.352%
优势 -0.117%
Kelly -0.174%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.02

博彩公司预测分布
31.40%33.01%32.94%34.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.882.903.0237.04%34.75%34.48%33.11%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Frances Tiafoe (主队):67.00%;Andrea Pellegrino (客队):33.00%。 对于“Andrea Pellegrino (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.02,期望值为-0.352%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 10:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 10:44
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:44
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 10:48
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 11:03
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:45
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:44
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 10:44
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:44
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.352%E -0.117%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:44
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 10:42
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 10:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 10:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 10:44
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 10:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-11 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-11 11:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-11 11:05
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.11%1.7%2026-05-11 11:04
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-05-11 11:05