StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Frances Tiafoe v Andrea Pellegrino

Matchstart: 2026-05-11 11:10 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Frances Tiafoe (Hemma)

Prognos 67.00%1.49rättvist odds
EV -2.84%
Fördel -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
65.53%66.99%67.06%68.60%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.351.411.401.4574.07%70.97%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Andrea Pellegrino (Borta)

Prognos 33.00%3.03rättvist odds
EV -0.352%
Fördel -0.117%
Kelly -0.174%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
31.40%33.01%32.94%34.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.882.903.0237.04%34.75%34.48%33.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Frances Tiafoe (Hemma): 67.00%; Andrea Pellegrino (Borta): 33.00%. För Andrea Pellegrino (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.03. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.02, med väntevärdet -0.352%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 10:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 10:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 10:44
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:44
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 10:48
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 11:03
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:43
Marathon Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:45
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:44
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 10:44
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:44
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.352%E -0.117%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:44
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 10:42
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 10:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Codere (IT)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 10:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 10:44
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 10:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-11 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-11 11:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-11 11:05
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.11%1.7%2026-05-11 11:04
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-05-11 11:05