La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Frances Tiafoe v Andrea Pellegrino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Frances Tiafoe (Casa)
Previsione 67.00%1.49quota equa
EV -2.84%
Vantaggio -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.53%66.99%67.06%68.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.411.401.4574.07%70.97%71.43%68.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Andrea Pellegrino (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.00%3.03quota equa
EV -0.352%
Vantaggio -0.117%
Kelly -0.174%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.02
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.40%33.01%32.94%34.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.882.903.0237.04%34.75%34.48%33.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 10:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 11:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 10:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.352%E -0.117%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 10:42 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Fliff | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 11:05 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 33.11% | 1.7% | 2026-05-11 11:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 11:05 |