مدرسة الاحتمالات

Frances Tiafoe v Andrea Pellegrino

البداية: 2026-05-11 11:10 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (المضيف)

التنبؤ 67.00%1.49السعر العادل
EV -2.84%
الأفضلية -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.53%66.99%67.06%68.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.411.401.4574.07%70.97%71.43%68.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Andrea Pellegrino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 33.00%3.03السعر العادل
EV -0.352%
الأفضلية -0.117%
Kelly -0.174%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.02

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.40%33.01%32.94%34.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.882.903.0237.04%34.75%34.48%33.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 10:44
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 10:44
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-11 10:44
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:44
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:45
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 10:45
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-11 10:44
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 10:48
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 11:03
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 10:43
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:44
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:45
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-11 10:44
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 10:44
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:44
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.352%E -0.117%K -0.174%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 10:44
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 10:42
NordicBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 10:44
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 10:44
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.506%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:45
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 10:44
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 10:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 10:44
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 10:45
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 10:44
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:41
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:44
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 10:45
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-11 10:44
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 10:44
Betr (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 10:45
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 10:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-05-11 11:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%0.5%2026-05-11 11:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-11 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-05-11 11:05
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89%2.97I 33.67%NM 33.11%1.7%2026-05-11 11:04
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-05-11 11:05