L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Frances Tiafoe v Andrea Pellegrino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prévision 67.00%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.53%66.99%67.06%68.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.411.401.4574.07%70.97%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Andrea Pellegrino (Visiteur)
Prévision 33.00%3.03cote équitable
EV -0.352%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.174%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.40%33.01%32.94%34.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.882.903.0237.04%34.75%34.48%33.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -6.29%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -4.64%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.93%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-11 10:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV -3.65%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 11:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 10:43 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.91%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -0.352%E -0.117%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 10:42 |
| NordicBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -0.682%E -0.227%K -0.339%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.01%E -0.337%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Fliff | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:41 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.66%E -0.902%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 10:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-05-11 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-05-11 11:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 11:05 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.89% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 33.11% | 1.7% | 2026-05-11 11:04 |
| Smarkets | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 11:05 |