Szkoła Kursów

Flavio Cobolli v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Początek: 2026-05-11 17:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.19%1.47kurs godziwy
EV -2.49%
Przewaga -1.74%
Kelly -5.80%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
66.27%68.06%68.23%68.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.61%71.43%69.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Goście)

Prognoza 31.81%3.14kurs godziwy
EV -1.38%
Przewaga -0.445%
Kelly -0.657%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
31.11%31.94%31.77%33.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.03%34.48%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 06:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 16:49
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 16:09
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 16:09
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 16:44
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:43
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:44
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.47%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:49
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:19
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:50
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:45
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:30
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:44
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:10
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:29
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:44
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:29
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:45
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:45
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:39
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.58%E -4.81%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:30
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 16:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 16:42
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-05-11 16:42
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-11 16:44