مدرسة الاحتمالات

Flavio Cobolli v Thiago Agustin Tirante

البداية: 2026-05-11 17:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.19%1.47السعر العادل
EV -2.49%
الأفضلية -1.74%
Kelly -5.80%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
66.27%68.06%68.23%68.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.61%71.43%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.81%3.14السعر العادل
EV -1.38%
الأفضلية -0.445%
Kelly -0.657%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.11%31.94%31.77%33.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.03%34.48%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 06:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 16:49
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 16:09
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 16:09
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 16:44
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:43
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:44
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.47%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:49
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:19
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:50
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:45
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:30
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:44
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:10
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:29
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:44
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:29
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:45
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:45
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:39
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.58%E -4.81%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:30
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 16:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 16:42
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-05-11 16:42
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-11 16:44