La scuola delle quote

Flavio Cobolli v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Inizio: 2026-05-11 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Flavio Cobolli (Casa)

Previsione 68.19%1.47quota equa
EV -2.49%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -5.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.27%68.06%68.23%68.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.61%71.43%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.81%3.14quota equa
EV -1.38%
Vantaggio -0.445%
Kelly -0.657%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.11%31.94%31.77%33.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.03%34.48%32.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 06:24
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 16:49
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-11 16:09
1xBet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 12:09
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:10
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 12:09
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-11 16:09
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 16:44
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-11 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:43
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:44
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:44
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.47%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 16:44
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 20:49
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:09
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 16:19
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 12:10
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 16:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 16:50
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:45
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:30
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 16:44
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 16:10
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:10
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:29
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:44
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:10
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:29
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:45
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-11 16:45
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 20:49
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:44
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:39
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 09:55
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 12:09
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.58%E -4.81%K -17.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:44
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:30
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-11 16:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 16:42
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-05-11 16:44
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-05-11 16:42
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-11 16:44