La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Flavio Cobolli v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Flavio Cobolli (Local)
Predicción 68.19%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -5.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%68.06%68.23%68.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.401.401.4374.07%71.61%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Predicción 31.81%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.445%
Kelly -0.657%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.11%31.94%31.77%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.903.1036.36%34.03%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 16:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 06:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.49%E -1.74%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-11 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.73%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.20%E -1.74%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.17%E -2.24%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -3.86%E -2.73%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.38%E -0.445%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-11 16:09 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.82%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -1.70%E -0.550%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 16:43 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.47%E -2.20%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 16:09 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 16:10 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 16:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 16:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.92%E -3.90%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.54%E -3.24%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -3.29%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-11 16:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 16:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.22%E -3.76%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.97%E -0.974%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 16:10 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 16:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-11 16:45 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 20:49 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 16:39 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 09:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.90%E -4.28%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.33%E -3.27%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.58%E -4.81%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.56%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-11 16:30 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.74%E -2.67%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 16:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.27%E -5.34%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.38%E -2.91%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-11 16:42 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.95%E -5.89%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.15%E -2.09%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 21:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-11 16:42 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 16:44 |