Language:English
Ethan Quinn v Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ethan Quinn (Local)
Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -0.810%
Edge -0.382%
Kelly -0.724%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.76%46.95%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.46%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visit)
Prediction 53.21%1.88fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%53.24%53.05%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.781.791.8358.48%56.33%55.87%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ethan Quinn (Local): 46.79%; Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visit): 53.21%. For Ethan Quinn (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.12, with an expected value of -0.810%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.28%E -0.606%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 12:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 13:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 12:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 12:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |