La scuola delle quote

Ethan Quinn v Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Inizio: 2026-05-07 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ethan Quinn (Casa)

Previsione 46.79%2.14quota equa
EV -0.810%
Vantaggio -0.382%
Kelly -0.724%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%46.76%46.95%48.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.46%49.50%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Trasferta)

Previsione 53.21%1.88quota equa
EV -2.62%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.35%53.24%53.05%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.781.791.8358.48%56.33%55.87%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:20
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.28%E -0.606%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 13:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 12:53
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 13:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 13:25
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:50
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:05
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:00
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:25
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 13:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:05
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 13:24
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 12:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 11:50
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:15
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:05
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:28
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 12:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 12:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 12:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 12:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 13:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:20
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 13:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-05-07 13:10