Szkoła Kursów

Ethan Quinn v Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Początek: 2026-05-07 13:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

60 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ethan Quinn (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.79%2.14kurs godziwy
EV -0.810%
Przewaga -0.382%
Kelly -0.724%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.12

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.17%46.76%46.95%48.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.46%49.50%47.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Goście)

Prognoza 53.21%1.88kurs godziwy
EV -2.62%
Przewaga -1.43%
Kelly -3.16%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.83

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.35%53.24%53.05%54.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.711.781.791.8358.48%56.33%55.87%54.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (60 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:20
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.28%E -0.606%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 13:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 12:53
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 13:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 13:25
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:50
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:05
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:00
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:25
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 13:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:05
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 13:24
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 12:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 11:50
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:15
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:05
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:28
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 12:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 12:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 12:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 12:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 13:05
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:20
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 13:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-05-07 13:10