مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ethan Quinn v Pablo Llamas Ruiz

البداية: 2026-05-07 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ethan Quinn (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.79%2.14السعر العادل
EV -0.810%
الأفضلية -0.382%
Kelly -0.724%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.17%46.76%46.95%48.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.46%49.50%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (الضيف)

التنبؤ 53.21%1.88السعر العادل
EV -2.62%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -3.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.35%53.24%53.05%54.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.781.791.8358.48%56.33%55.87%54.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.724%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 13:20
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.28%E -0.606%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-07 13:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 12:53
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 13:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:49
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 13:25
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 12:35
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:55
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:05
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 13:04
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:50
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 11:05
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:00
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 13:25
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 13:25
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:05
ReBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 12:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 13:24
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 12:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 13:25
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 11:50
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:15
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 12:15
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:05
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 12:28
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 13:00
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 12:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:19
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 13:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 12:30
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 12:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 12:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.05%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 13:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 13:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:25
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-05-07 13:20
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-05-07 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-07 13:25
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-05-07 13:10