Idioma:Español
Ethan Quinn v Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ethan Quinn (Local)
Predicción 46.79%2.14momio equitativo
EV -0.810%
Ventaja -0.382%
Kelly -0.724%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.17%46.76%46.95%48.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.022.022.1252.63%49.46%49.50%47.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visitante)
Predicción 53.21%1.88momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.35%53.24%53.05%54.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.791.8358.48%56.33%55.87%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ethan Quinn (Local): 46.79%; Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Visitante): 53.21%. Para Ethan Quinn (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.14. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.12, con un valor esperado de -0.810%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -0.810%E -0.382%K -0.724%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -1.28%E -0.606%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 12:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 13:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.09%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 12:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 12:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 12:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 12:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.35%E -3.61%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.01%E -5.27%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.81%E -3.28%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 12:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 12:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -10.17%E -5.30%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -11.10%E -5.84%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-05-07 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-07 13:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 13:10 |