Language:English
Daniel Altmaier v Alexander Zverev
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Prediction 10.63%9.41fair odd
EV +27.58%
Edge +2.30%
Kelly +2.51%
Growth +0.691%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.90%10.68%10.49%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.868.9812.0014.29%11.28%11.14%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visit)
Prediction 89.37%1.12fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -28.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.85%89.32%89.51%92.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.45%94.34%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daniel Altmaier (Local): 10.63%; Alexander Zverev (Visit): 89.37%. For Daniel Altmaier (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.41. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +27.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:47 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +4.19%E +0.428%K +0.476%G +0.020% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.94%EV +3.98%E +0.407%K +0.453%G +0.018% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.06%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.53%E -0.504%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.70%EV -8.57%E -0.996%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.30%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:41 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.56%EV -12.18%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.44%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -23.45%E -3.26%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.58%E -3.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 12.35I 8.10%NM 7.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.10% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |