La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniel Altmaier v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniel Altmaier (Local)
Predicción 10.63%9.41momio equitativo
EV +27.58%
Ventaja +2.30%
Kelly +2.51%
Crecimiento +0.691%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.90%10.68%10.49%13.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.868.9812.0014.29%11.28%11.14%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 89.37%1.12momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -2.37%
Kelly -28.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.85%89.32%89.51%92.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.45%94.34%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Betway | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| theScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:47 |
| 888sport | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| DraftKings | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +4.19%E +0.428%K +0.476%G +0.020% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.94%EV +3.98%E +0.407%K +0.453%G +0.018% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.06%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-08 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| SportsBet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 13:41 |
| BoyleSports | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| FanDuel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 13:48 |
| Neds | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetMGM | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.53%E -0.504%K -0.567%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-08 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Betsson | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Fliff | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.70%EV -8.57%E -0.996%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.30%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| Bet Right | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:45 |
| Bally Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:41 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| PlayUp | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| GTbets | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.56%EV -12.18%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.44%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-08 13:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| BetRivers | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:14 |
| Coral | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 13:39 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| TAB | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Bet Victor | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 13:43 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -23.45%E -3.26%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-08 13:44 |
| Fanatics | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.58%E -3.65%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |
| Smarkets | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 13:50 |
| Novig | 12.35I 8.10%NM 7.90% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.10% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 13:49 |