L’École des cotes

Daniel Altmaier v Alexander Zverev

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Prévision 10.63%9.41cote équitable
EV +27.58%
Avantage +2.30%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.691%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.90%10.68%10.49%13.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.868.9812.0014.29%11.28%11.14%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)

Prévision 89.37%1.12cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -28.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.85%89.32%89.51%92.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.45%94.34%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:14
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:50
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:47
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
DraftKings9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +4.19%E +0.428%K +0.476%G +0.020%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Pinnacle9.78I 10.22%NM 9.94%EV +3.98%E +0.407%K +0.453%G +0.018%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.06%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 13:15
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:49
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:45
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:50
Coolbet9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:41
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:49
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:49
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:44
FanDuel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:50
Betclic (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Neds9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:14
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Ladbrokes (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:49
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 13:50
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.53%E -0.504%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:40
NordicBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Fliff8.60I 11.63%NM 10.70%EV -8.57%E -0.996%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.30%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 13:44
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:35
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:41
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:39
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:44
GTbets8.26I 12.11%NM 11.56%EV -12.18%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.44%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:38
LowVig.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:14
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:14
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:14
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:14
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:50
Codere (IT)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:39
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:43
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 13:49
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -23.45%E -3.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:44
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.58%E -3.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 13:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:50
Matchbook14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%1.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Novig12.35I 8.10%NM 7.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.10%2.4%2026-05-08 13:49