A Escola das Odds

Daniel Altmaier v Alexander Zverev

Início: 2026-05-08 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (Local)

Previsão 10.63%9.41odd justa
EV +27.58%
Vantagem +2.30%
Kelly +2.51%
Crescimento +0.691%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.90%10.68%10.49%13.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
7.008.868.9812.0014.29%11.28%11.14%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alexander Zverev (Visitante)

Previsão 89.37%1.12odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -2.37%
Kelly -28.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.09

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
86.85%89.32%89.51%92.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.45%94.34%91.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:14
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:50
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:47
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
DraftKings9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +4.19%E +0.428%K +0.476%G +0.020%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Pinnacle9.78I 10.22%NM 9.94%EV +3.98%E +0.407%K +0.453%G +0.018%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.06%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 13:15
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:49
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:45
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:50
Coolbet9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:41
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:49
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:49
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:44
FanDuel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:50
Betclic (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Neds9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:14
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Ladbrokes (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:49
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 13:50
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.53%E -0.504%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:40
NordicBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Fliff8.60I 11.63%NM 10.70%EV -8.57%E -0.996%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.30%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 13:44
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:35
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:41
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:39
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:44
GTbets8.26I 12.11%NM 11.56%EV -12.18%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.44%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:38
LowVig.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:14
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:14
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:14
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:14
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:50
Codere (IT)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:39
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:43
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 13:49
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -23.45%E -3.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:44
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.58%E -3.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 13:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:50
Matchbook14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%1.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Novig12.35I 8.10%NM 7.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.10%2.4%2026-05-08 13:49