مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniel Altmaier v Alexander Zverev

البداية: 2026-05-08 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniel Altmaier (المضيف)

التنبؤ 10.63%9.41السعر العادل
EV +27.58%
الأفضلية +2.30%
Kelly +2.51%
النمو +0.691%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.90%10.68%10.49%13.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.008.868.9812.0014.29%11.28%11.14%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alexander Zverev (الضيف)

التنبؤ 89.37%1.12السعر العادل
EV -2.59%
الأفضلية -2.37%
Kelly -28.76%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.09

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
86.85%89.32%89.51%92.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.45%94.34%91.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:14
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +27.58%E +2.30%K +2.51%G +0.691%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 13:50
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:47
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
888sport (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Mr Green (SE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +16.95%E +1.54%K +1.69%G +0.287%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 13:45
DraftKings9.80I 10.20%NM 9.84%EV +4.19%E +0.428%K +0.476%G +0.020%1.07I 93.46%NM 90.16%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Pinnacle9.78I 10.22%NM 9.94%EV +3.98%E +0.407%K +0.453%G +0.018%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.06%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 13:15
PointsBet (AU)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:49
SportsBet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 13:45
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV +1.00%E +0.105%K +0.118%G +0.001%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:50
Coolbet9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)9.25I 10.81%NM 10.11%EV -1.66%E -0.179%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.89%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 13:41
BoyleSports9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:49
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:49
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:44
FanDuel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 13:50
Betclic (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Neds9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:14
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:48
Ladbrokes (AU)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -7.06%E -6.79%K -176.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 13:49
Winamax (FR)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -4.32%E -0.480%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 13:50
1xBet8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -4.53%E -0.504%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 13:40
NordicBet8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Betsson8.75I 11.43%NM 10.81%EV -6.97%E -0.797%K -0.900%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.19%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Fliff8.60I 11.63%NM 10.70%EV -8.57%E -0.996%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.30%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 13:44
Bet Right8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:35
Unibet (NL)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Svenska Spel8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:45
Bally Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:41
Hard Rock Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 13:44
Betr (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:39
PlayUp8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -9.63%E -1.13%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 13:44
GTbets8.26I 12.11%NM 11.56%EV -12.18%E -1.47%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.44%EV -3.48%E -3.22%K -43.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-08 13:38
LowVig.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:14
BetOnline.ag8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV -13.99%E -1.73%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-08 13:14
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:14
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:14
Coral8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:50
Codere (IT)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 13:39
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
Tipico (DE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -14.95%E -1.87%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -6.16%E -5.87%K -123.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 13:49
LiveScore Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Virgin Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:49
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -4.09%K -62.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 13:43
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.08%EV -20.26%E -2.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 87.92%EV -7.95%E -7.72%K -265.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 13:49
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -23.45%E -3.26%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -2.59%E -2.37%K -28.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-08 13:44
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -25.58%E -3.65%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -5.27%E -4.97%K -87.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 13:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:49
Smarkets13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.66%0.9%2026-05-08 13:50
Matchbook14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%1.2%2026-05-08 13:50
Novig12.35I 8.10%NM 7.90%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.10%2.4%2026-05-08 13:49