Language:English
Damir Dzumhur v Adrian Mannarino
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Prediction 73.02%1.37fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%72.86%73.08%74.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.291.3480.00%77.05%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adrian Mannarino (Visit)
Prediction 26.98%3.71fair odd
EV +0.909%
Edge +0.243%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%27.14%26.92%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.553.7431.25%28.52%28.17%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Damir Dzumhur (Local): 73.02%; Adrian Mannarino (Visit): 26.98%. For Adrian Mannarino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.909%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.909%E +0.243%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.567%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -2.33%E -0.643%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.98%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.92%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 08:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -10.69%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 04:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 08:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.22% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.78% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 06:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |