مدرسة الاحتمالات

Damir Dzumhur v Adrian Mannarino

البداية: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Damir Dzumhur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 73.02%1.37السعر العادل
EV -2.15%
الأفضلية -1.61%
Kelly -6.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.34

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.80%72.86%73.08%74.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.301.291.3480.00%77.05%77.52%74.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Adrian Mannarino (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.98%3.71السعر العادل
EV +0.909%
الأفضلية +0.243%
Kelly +0.332%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.50%27.14%26.92%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.513.553.7431.25%28.52%28.17%26.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.909%E +0.243%K +0.332%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 08:15
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.567%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 08:50
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -2.33%E -0.643%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 07:15
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 07:10
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:54
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 05:50
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 07:45
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.98%K -34.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 08:55
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:50
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 05:50
Codere (IT)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 05:49
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 05:49
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 05:50
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:59
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Winamax (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:15
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.92%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:15
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 07:25
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:53
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 08:30
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -10.69%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 08:50
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:34
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 04:05
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:20
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 08:49
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 07:19
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 08:53
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 08:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.22%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.78%1.3%2026-05-06 06:05
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-06 08:55