La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Damir Dzumhur v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Damir Dzumhur (Local)
Predicción 73.02%1.37momio equitativo
EV -2.15%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -6.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%72.86%73.08%74.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.291.3480.00%77.05%77.52%74.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV +0.909%
Ventaja +0.243%
Kelly +0.332%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.50%27.14%26.92%29.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.553.7431.25%28.52%28.17%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.909%E +0.243%K +0.332%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.567%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -2.33%E -0.643%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 08:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 07:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.98%K -34.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 05:49 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-06 05:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 04:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 08:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.92%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 07:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 08:53 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 08:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -10.69%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 07:10 |
| Caesars | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 04:05 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 07:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 08:49 |
| Coral | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 07:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-06 08:53 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-05-06 08:50 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.22% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.78% | 1.3% | 2026-05-06 06:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85% | 2.0% | 2026-05-06 08:55 |