Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Damir Dzumhur v Adrian Mannarino

Início: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Damir Dzumhur (Local)

Previsão 73.02%1.37odd justa
EV -2.15%
Vantagem -1.61%
Kelly -6.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.80%72.86%73.08%74.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.291.3480.00%77.05%77.52%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)

Previsão 26.98%3.71odd justa
EV +0.909%
Vantagem +0.243%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.50%27.14%26.92%29.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.513.553.7431.25%28.52%28.17%26.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Damir Dzumhur (Local): 73.02%; Adrian Mannarino (Visitante): 26.98%. Para Adrian Mannarino (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.71. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.74, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.909%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.909%E +0.243%K +0.332%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 08:15
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.567%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -2.33%E -0.643%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 07:15
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.98%K -34.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 05:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 05:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 05:49
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 05:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:59
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:15
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.92%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:15
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:53
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -10.69%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 08:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 04:05
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 08:49
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 08:53
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.22%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.78%1.3%2026-05-06 06:05
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-06 08:55