StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Damir Dzumhur v Adrian Mannarino

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-06 09:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Damir Dzumhur (Heim)

Prognose 73.02%1.37faire Quote
EV -2.15%
Vorteil -1.61%
Kelly -6.34%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.34

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.80%72.86%73.08%74.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.301.291.3480.00%77.05%77.52%74.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts)

Prognose 26.98%3.71faire Quote
EV +0.909%
Vorteil +0.243%
Kelly +0.332%
Wachstum +0.003%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.74

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.50%27.14%26.92%29.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.513.553.7431.25%28.52%28.17%26.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Damir Dzumhur (Heim): 73.02%; Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts): 26.98%. Für Adrian Mannarino (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.71. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 3.74 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.909%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +0.909%E +0.243%K +0.332%G +0.003%4.9%2026-05-06 08:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 08:15
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -1.52%E -0.416%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 05:50
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -2.06%E -0.567%K -0.783%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.13%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.87%EV -2.33%E -0.643%K -0.889%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-06 07:15
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 07:10
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 05:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 08:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 07:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.73%E -6.98%K -34.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.87%E -0.797%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 05:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 05:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -7.27%E -5.72%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -4.22%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 05:49
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.76%E -1.35%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-06 05:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 04:59
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 08:15
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.57%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 08:15
Bet Right🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -6.92%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 07:15
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 07:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.26%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 07:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.07%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 08:53
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 08:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.61%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 08:30
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.18%EV -2.15%E -1.61%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.82%EV -10.69%E -3.23%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 08:50
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 07:10
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.35%E -3.32%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 04:05
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-06 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.81%E -4.50%K -20.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 08:49
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.54%E -5.11%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.96%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 07:19
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.88%E -2.17%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.08%E -3.90%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -12.31%E -3.79%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-06 08:53
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -3.61%E -2.74%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -13.66%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 08:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-06 08:50
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 74.22%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.78%1.3%2026-05-06 06:05
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%2.0%2026-05-06 08:55