StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cristian Garin v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Matchstart: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

62 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Cristian Garin (Hemma)

Prognos 41.11%2.43rättvist odds
EV +0.301%
Fördel +0.123%
Kelly +0.209%
Tillväxt +0.001%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.44

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.15%41.34%41.10%43.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.292.302.4446.51%43.75%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Borta)

Prognos 58.89%1.70rättvist odds
EV -0.471%
Fördel -0.279%
Kelly -0.682%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.69

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
56.58%58.66%58.90%60.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.81%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Cristian Garin (Hemma): 41.11%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Borta): 58.89%. För Cristian Garin (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.43. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.44, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.301%.

Spelbolagsodds (62 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +0.301%E +0.123%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.560%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 06:47
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 09:44
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 21:19
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:49
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 08:54
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 21:19
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:48
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:19
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 04:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 07:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:19
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.62%K -15.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 23:24
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 21:22
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:49
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-09 11:50
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-09 11:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-09 11:50