Szkoła Kursów

Cristian Garin v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Początek: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Cristian Garin (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.11%2.43kurs godziwy
EV +0.301%
Przewaga +0.123%
Kelly +0.209%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.44

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.15%41.34%41.10%43.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.292.302.4446.51%43.75%43.48%40.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Goście)

Prognoza 58.89%1.70kurs godziwy
EV -0.471%
Przewaga -0.279%
Kelly -0.682%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.69

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.58%58.66%58.90%60.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.81%61.73%59.17%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +0.301%E +0.123%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 11:49
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.560%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 06:47
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 09:44
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 21:19
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:18
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 08:54
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 21:19
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:49
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:48
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:19
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 04:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 07:34
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:19
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 07:59
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 11:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.62%K -15.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 23:24
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:50
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 11:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 21:22
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:49
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:50
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:49
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-09 11:50
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-09 11:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-09 11:50