مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cristian Garin v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

البداية: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cristian Garin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.11%2.43السعر العادل
EV +0.301%
الأفضلية +0.123%
Kelly +0.209%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.15%41.34%41.10%43.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.292.302.4446.51%43.75%43.48%40.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.89%1.70السعر العادل
EV -0.471%
الأفضلية -0.279%
Kelly -0.682%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.58%58.66%58.90%60.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.81%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +0.301%E +0.123%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 11:49
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.560%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 06:47
GTbets2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 09:44
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 21:19
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:18
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:49
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 08:54
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 21:19
DraftKings2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:49
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:48
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
ReBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:19
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:20
Unibet (UK)2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 04:24
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 07:34
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:19
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 07:59
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 11:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.62%K -15.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 23:24
Pinnacle2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:50
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 11:49
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:49
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:50
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 21:22
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:49
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:50
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:49
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 11:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-09 11:50
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-09 11:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-09 11:50