La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cristian Garin v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristian Garin (Local)
Predicción 41.11%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.301%
Ventaja +0.123%
Kelly +0.209%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.15%41.34%41.10%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.292.302.4446.51%43.75%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visitante)
Predicción 58.89%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.471%
Ventaja -0.279%
Kelly -0.682%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.58%58.66%58.90%60.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.81%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +0.301%E +0.123%K +0.209%G +0.001% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.560%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 06:47 |
| GTbets | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 09:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-08 21:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 06:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 08:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-09 11:48 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| ReBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 04:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-08 21:19 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 07:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.62%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 23:24 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 07:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 21:22 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 05:15 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 0.0% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |
| Novig | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-09 11:49 |
| Smarkets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.1% | 2026-05-09 11:50 |