StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cristian Garin v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-09 12:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Cristian Garin (Heim)

Prognose 41.11%2.43faire Quote
EV +0.301%
Vorteil +0.123%
Kelly +0.209%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.44

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.15%41.34%41.10%43.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.152.292.302.4446.51%43.75%43.48%40.98%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.89%1.70faire Quote
EV -0.471%
Vorteil -0.279%
Kelly -0.682%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.69

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.58%58.66%58.90%60.85%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.621.621.6964.52%61.81%61.73%59.17%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Cristian Garin (Heim): 41.11%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Auswärts): 58.89%. Für Cristian Garin (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.43. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.44 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.301%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV +0.301%E +0.123%K +0.209%G +0.001%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.560%K -0.959%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 06:47
GTbets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.15%EV -2.58%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.85%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 09:44
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -2.99%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 21:19
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:18
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-09 06:49
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 08:54
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.40%E -1.45%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 21:19
DraftKings🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 11:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.22%E -1.81%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-09 11:48
Coolbet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:19
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-08 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.04%E -2.18%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 04:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Bally Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 07:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 22:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 21:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:19
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 07:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 11:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 21:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.72%E -5.62%K -15.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.86%E -2.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-08 23:24
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.28%E -2.75%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.00%E -2.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 11:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.18%E -3.22%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.77%E -3.61%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 11:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.36%E -4.00%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.95%E -4.40%K -11.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 07:34
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.54%E -4.80%K -13.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 21:22
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -7.92%E -3.54%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -0.471%E -0.279%K -0.682%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 11:50
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 05:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.65%E -0.987%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 11:49
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 11:49
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.83%E -1.71%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 11:49
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.59%E -2.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 11:49
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%0.0%2026-05-09 11:49
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%0.4%2026-05-09 11:50
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-09 11:49
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-05-09 11:50