语言:简体中文
Casper Ruud v Luciano Darderi
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Casper Ruud (主队)
预测 68.26%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.38%
优势 -1.67%
Kelly -5.54%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.43
博彩公司预测分布
65.53%68.16%68.29%69.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.72%71.43%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
Luciano Darderi (客队)
预测 31.74%3.15公平赔率
EV -0.029%
优势 -0.009%
Kelly -0.014%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
30.49%31.84%31.71%34.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.70%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Casper Ruud (主队)：68.26%；Luciano Darderi (客队)：31.74%。 对于“Luciano Darderi (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.151。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.150，期望值为-0.029%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.23%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -0.664%E -0.212%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:33 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.69%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.029%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:41 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.84%E -5.81%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.57%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.36%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |