La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Casper Ruud v Luciano Darderi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Casper Ruud (Local)
Predicción 68.26%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -5.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.53%68.16%68.29%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.72%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Luciano Darderi (Visitante)
Predicción 31.74%3.15momio equitativo
EV -0.029%
Ventaja -0.009%
Kelly -0.014%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%31.84%31.71%34.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.70%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.23%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -0.664%E -0.212%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:33 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| ReBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.69%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.029%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:41 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.84%E -5.81%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.57%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.36%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |