Szkoła Kursów

Casper Ruud v Luciano Darderi

Początek: 2026-05-15 14:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Casper Ruud (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.26%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -2.38%
Przewaga -1.67%
Kelly -5.54%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.43

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.53%68.16%68.29%69.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.72%71.43%69.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Luciano Darderi (Goście)

Prognoza 31.74%3.15kurs godziwy
EV -0.029%
Przewaga -0.009%
Kelly -0.014%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.49%31.84%31.71%34.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.70%33.33%31.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:30
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.23%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 13:29
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -0.664%E -0.212%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-15 13:30
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 13:29
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 13:40
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:33
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:40
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 13:40
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 13:29
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.69%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 13:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 13:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 13:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.029%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:41
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 13:40
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:40
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 13:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:29
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 13:30
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:40
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.84%E -5.81%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.57%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 13:29
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.36%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 13:40
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-15 13:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-05-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-15 13:35
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-05-15 13:35
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-05-15 13:35