La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Casper Ruud v Luciano Darderi
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Casper Ruud (Casa)
Previsione 68.26%1.46quota equa
EV -2.38%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -5.54%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.53%68.16%68.29%69.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.72%71.43%69.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luciano Darderi (Trasferta)
Previsione 31.74%3.15quota equa
EV -0.029%
Vantaggio -0.009%
Kelly -0.014%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.49%31.84%31.71%34.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.70%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.23%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -0.664%E -0.212%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:33 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| ReBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.69%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.029%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 13:41 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betsson | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| Fliff | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| GTbets | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.84%E -5.81%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.57%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 13:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.36%K -25.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |
| Novig | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42% | 2.7% | 2026-05-15 13:35 |