مدرسة الاحتمالات

Casper Ruud v Luciano Darderi

البداية: 2026-05-15 14:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Casper Ruud (المضيف)

التنبؤ 68.26%1.46السعر العادل
EV -2.38%
الأفضلية -1.67%
Kelly -5.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.53%68.16%68.29%69.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.341.391.401.4374.63%71.72%71.43%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Luciano Darderi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 31.74%3.15السعر العادل
EV -0.029%
الأفضلية -0.009%
Kelly -0.014%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.49%31.84%31.71%34.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.70%33.33%31.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:30
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -2.38%E -1.67%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -9.23%E -3.23%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 13:29
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 68.79%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.21%EV -0.664%E -0.212%K -0.312%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-15 13:30
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 13:29
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -3.07%E -2.16%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 13:40
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:33
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.75%E -2.66%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:30
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:40
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -4.47%E -1.49%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 13:40
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 13:29
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.69%E -2.28%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 13:30
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 13:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 13:40
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 13:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 13:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.43%E -3.17%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.72%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Winamax (DE)1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.029%E -0.009%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 13:41
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 13:40
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.11%E -3.68%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:40
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 13:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.80%E -4.20%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:29
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 13:30
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:40
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 13:40
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 13:30
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:30
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -6.48%E -4.73%K -17.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 13:34
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.62%E -0.521%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-15 13:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 13:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.96%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 13:29
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.16%E -5.27%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 13:40
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -7.84%E -5.81%K -22.41%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.54%EV -2.57%E -0.837%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 13:29
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -8.53%E -6.36%K -25.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -3.20%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-05-15 13:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-05-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-15 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-15 13:35
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.06%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.94%2.0%2026-05-15 13:35
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.58%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.42%2.7%2026-05-15 13:35