Language:English
Aleksandar Vukic v Patrick Kypson
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Prediction 25.34%3.95fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.778%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.06%25.37%25.45%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.754.0429.41%26.71%26.67%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Patrick Kypson (Visit)
Prediction 74.66%1.34fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -4.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.49%74.63%74.55%75.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3281.97%78.82%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 25.34%; Patrick Kypson (Visit): 74.66%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV +2.37%E +0.586%K +0.778%G +0.018% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -0.421%E -0.107%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -7.26%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 14:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 14:25 |