Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aleksandar Vukic v Patrick Kypson

Inizio: 2026-05-06 14:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aleksandar Vukic (Casa)

Previsione 25.34%3.95quota equa
EV +2.37%
Vantaggio +0.586%
Kelly +0.778%
Crescita +0.018%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.06%25.37%25.45%27.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.743.754.0429.41%26.71%26.67%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Patrick Kypson (Trasferta)

Previsione 74.66%1.34quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -1.10%
Kelly -4.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
72.49%74.63%74.55%75.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.271.3281.97%78.82%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aleksandar Vukic (Casa): 25.34%; Patrick Kypson (Trasferta): 74.66%. Per Aleksandar Vukic (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.95. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.04, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.37%.

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV +2.37%E +0.586%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 13:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:56
Betclic (FR)🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -0.421%E -0.107%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 14:29
Coolbet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 13:55
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:56
FanDuel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 13:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
BetOnline.ag🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:54
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 13:56
DraftKings🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:56
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:56
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:55
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:55
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:56
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 13:56
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:54
1xBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:56
Fanatics🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:56
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
GTbets🎯3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -7.26%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:35
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:56
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:56
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:29
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 14:04
Everygame🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 13:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-05-06 13:55
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-05-06 14:25