L’École des cotes

Aleksandar Vukic v Patrick Kypson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 14:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV +2.37%
Avantage +0.586%
Kelly +0.778%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.06%25.37%25.45%27.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.743.754.0429.41%26.71%26.67%24.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Patrick Kypson (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.66%1.34cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -1.10%
Kelly -4.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.49%74.63%74.55%75.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.3281.97%78.82%78.74%75.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV +2.37%E +0.586%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 13:55
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:56
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -0.421%E -0.107%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 14:29
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 13:55
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:56
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 13:55
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:54
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 13:56
DraftKings3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:56
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:56
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:55
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:55
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:56
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:55
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 13:56
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:54
1xBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:56
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:56
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
GTbets3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -7.26%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 13:55
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:56
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:56
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:56
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:56
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:29
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 14:04
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-05-06 13:55
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-05-06 14:25