مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aleksandar Vukic v Patrick Kypson

البداية: 2026-05-06 14:40 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

60 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aleksandar Vukic (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.34%3.95السعر العادل
EV +2.37%
الأفضلية +0.586%
Kelly +0.778%
النمو +0.018%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.06%25.37%25.45%27.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.743.754.0429.41%26.71%26.67%24.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Patrick Kypson (الضيف)

التنبؤ 74.66%1.34السعر العادل
EV -1.45%
الأفضلية -1.10%
Kelly -4.52%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.32

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
72.49%74.63%74.55%75.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.221.271.271.3281.97%78.82%78.74%75.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (60 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV +2.37%E +0.586%K +0.778%G +0.018%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-06 13:55
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-06 13:56
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -0.421%E -0.107%K -0.144%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 14:29
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-06 13:55
SportsBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 13:56
FanDuel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 13:55
Winamax (FR)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
LeoVegas (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Bally Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
BetOnline.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
LowVig.ag3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:54
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 14:30
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-06 13:56
DraftKings3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:56
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:56
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:55
ReBet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 13:55
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:56
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 13:55
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 13:56
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-06 13:54
1xBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 13:56
Fanatics3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
Codere (IT)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:55
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-06 13:56
PMU (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:55
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 13:56
GTbets3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -7.26%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 13:55
Betr (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 14:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:55
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 13:56
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 13:56
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 13:56
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:56
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:56
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 13:55
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-06 14:29
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 14:04
Everygame3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-06 13:55
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-06 13:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-05-06 14:05
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%2.5%2026-05-06 13:55
Novig4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%2.7%2026-05-06 14:25