Idioma:Español
Aleksandar Vukic v Patrick Kypson
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +0.586%
Kelly +0.778%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.06%25.37%25.45%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.743.754.0429.41%26.71%26.67%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Patrick Kypson (Visitante)
Predicción 74.66%1.34momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -4.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.49%74.63%74.55%75.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.271.3281.97%78.82%78.74%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 25.34%; Patrick Kypson (Visitante): 74.66%. Para Aleksandar Vukic (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.95. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.04, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.37%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.06%EV +2.37%E +0.586%K +0.778%G +0.018% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.94%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.35%E +0.338%K +0.451%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.42%EV -0.421%E -0.107%K -0.144%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.14%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.18%E -0.303%K -0.407%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.45%E -0.636%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.95%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.71%E -0.978%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.91%E -7.31%K -40.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -4.22%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.98%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-06 13:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.25%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -7.26%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.49%EV -1.45%E -1.10%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.52%E -2.06%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.43%E -3.46%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.18%E -4.08%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.78%E -2.44%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -5.93%E -4.70%K -22.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 14:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.32%E -3.23%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.67%E -5.34%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.85%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.69%E -2.86%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 14:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78% | 2.5% | 2026-05-06 13:55 |
| Novig◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65% | 2.7% | 2026-05-06 14:25 |