Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Jan-Lennard Struff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 59.42%1.68fair odd
EV +6.37%
Edge +3.56%
Kelly +8.06%
Growth +0.513%
assuming max odds 1.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.26%58.82%59.95%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.601.7966.67%61.63%62.50%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)
Prediction 40.58%2.46fair odd
EV +5.50%
Edge +2.12%
Kelly +3.44%
Growth +0.189%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%41.18%40.05%46.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.262.302.6050.00%44.34%43.48%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 59.42%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit): 40.58%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 19 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV +6.37%E +3.56%K +8.06%G +0.513% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -17.22%E -8.44%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +4.58%E +2.60%K +6.03%G +0.276% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -11.95%E -5.50%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -15.60%E -7.50%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:37 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -13.57%E -6.37%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.61%E +0.942%K +2.27%G +0.037% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.16%E -6.15%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.45%E +0.578%K +0.963%G +0.014% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 20:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 20:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.50%E +2.12%K +3.44%G +0.189% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.584%E -0.238%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |