L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Jan-Lennard Struff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 59.42%1.68cote équitable
EV +6.37%
Avantage +3.56%
Kelly +8.06%
Croissance +0.513%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.26%58.82%59.95%63.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.601.7966.67%61.63%62.50%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.58%2.46cote équitable
EV +5.50%
Avantage +2.12%
Kelly +3.44%
Croissance +0.189%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.59%41.18%40.05%46.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.262.302.6050.00%44.34%43.48%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV +6.37%E +3.56%K +8.06%G +0.513%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -17.22%E -8.44%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 20:40
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +4.58%E +2.60%K +6.03%G +0.276%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -11.95%E -5.50%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 20:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -15.60%E -7.50%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:41
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:31
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:37
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:45
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 20:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:41
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:41
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:41
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:41
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:40
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -13.57%E -6.37%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:45
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.61%E +0.942%K +2.27%G +0.037%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.16%E -6.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 20:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 20:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:49
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:50
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 20:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.45%E +0.578%K +0.963%G +0.014%4.1%2026-03-04 20:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 20:53
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 20:55
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 20:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.50%E +2.12%K +3.44%G +0.189%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.584%E -0.238%K -0.403%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55