La scuola delle quote

Zizou Bergs v Jan-Lennard Struff

Inizio: 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (23 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Casa)

Previsione 59.42%1.68quota equa
EV +6.37%
Vantaggio +3.56%
Kelly +8.06%
Crescita +0.513%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.26%58.82%59.95%63.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.601.7966.67%61.63%62.50%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.58%2.46quota equa
EV +5.50%
Vantaggio +2.12%
Kelly +3.44%
Crescita +0.189%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.59%41.18%40.05%46.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.262.302.6050.00%44.34%43.48%38.46%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV +6.37%E +3.56%K +8.06%G +0.513%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -17.22%E -8.44%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 20:40
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +4.58%E +2.60%K +6.03%G +0.276%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -11.95%E -5.50%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 20:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -15.60%E -7.50%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:41
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:31
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:37
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:45
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 20:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:41
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:41
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:41
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:41
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:40
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -13.57%E -6.37%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:45
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.61%E +0.942%K +2.27%G +0.037%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.16%E -6.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 20:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 20:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:49
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:50
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 20:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.45%E +0.578%K +0.963%G +0.014%4.1%2026-03-04 20:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 20:53
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 20:55
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 20:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.50%E +2.12%K +3.44%G +0.189%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.584%E -0.238%K -0.403%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55