Die Wettquotenschule

Zizou Bergs v Jan-Lennard Struff

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-04 21:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Zizou Bergs (Heim)

Prognose 59.42%1.68faire Quote
EV +6.37%
Vorteil +3.56%
Kelly +8.06%
Wachstum +0.513%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.79

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
53.26%58.82%59.95%63.41%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.501.621.601.7966.67%61.63%62.50%55.87%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Jan-Lennard Struff (Auswärts)

Prognose 40.58%2.46faire Quote
EV +5.50%
Vorteil +2.12%
Kelly +3.44%
Wachstum +0.189%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.60

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
36.59%41.18%40.05%46.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.002.262.302.6050.00%44.34%43.48%38.46%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV +6.37%E +3.56%K +8.06%G +0.513%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -17.22%E -8.44%K -16.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 20:40
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +4.58%E +2.60%K +6.03%G +0.276%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -11.95%E -5.50%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 20:45
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -15.60%E -7.50%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:41
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:31
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 20:34
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 20:37
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-04 20:45
Codere (IT)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:45
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 20:44
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:44
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:41
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:41
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:41
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:41
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 20:40
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -13.57%E -6.37%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:40
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:45
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.61%E +0.942%K +2.27%G +0.037%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.16%E -6.15%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:44
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 20:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-04 20:50
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 20:55
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 20:55
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:49
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:50
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 20:55
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Betsson1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 20:55
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 20:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.45%E +0.578%K +0.963%G +0.014%4.1%2026-03-04 20:55
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 20:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 20:54
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 20:53
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:55
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 20:55
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:53
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 20:49
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 20:55
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 20:55
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 20:55
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 20:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.50%E +2.12%K +3.44%G +0.189%5.1%2026-03-04 20:55
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.584%E -0.238%K -0.403%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 20:50
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-03-04 20:55